Polymarket vs Kalshi: Which Prediction Market is Better?
An in-depth comparison of the two leading prediction market platforms. We analyze fees, markets, liquidity, regulations, and user experience to help you decide.
Polymarket and Kalshi are the two dominant players in the prediction market space. While both let you trade on real-world events, they take fundamentally different approaches. Polymarket embraces crypto and decentralization, while Kalshi operates as a CFTC-regulated exchange.
In this comprehensive comparison, we'll help you understand which platform is better suited for your trading style and situation.
Quick Verdict
Choose Polymarket If:
- - You want more market variety
- - You prefer lower fees
- - You're comfortable with crypto
- - You want deeper liquidity
- - You're outside the US
Choose Kalshi If:
- - You need full regulatory compliance
- - You prefer traditional finance
- - You want tax simplicity (1099s)
- - You're a US resident prioritizing legality
Side-by-Side Comparison
| Feature | Polymarket | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|
| Founded | 2020 | 2018 |
| Regulation | Decentralized (No CFTC) | CFTC Regulated |
| Currency | USDC (Crypto) | USD (Bank/Card) |
| Trading Fee | 2% on profit | 1-7% per contract |
| Active Markets | 1,000+ | 200+ |
| Daily Volume | $20M+ | $5M+ |
| US Access | Restricted | Full Access |
| Mobile App | Web Only | iOS & Android |
| API Access | Yes (Free) | Yes (Limited) |
Fees Comparison
Fees are one of the biggest differences between the two platforms. Let's break down what you actually pay:
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Get Started FreePolymarket Fees
- 2% on winning profits only
- 0% on losing positions
- 0% maker fees
- ~$0.01 gas per trade
- 0% sports market fees (promo)
Kalshi Fees
- -1-7% per contract (varies)
- -Fees charged on every trade
- -Additional fees for some markets
- $0 deposit/withdrawal
- Volume discounts available
Fee Example: $100 Trade
Polymarket:
Buy YES at $0.40, win $1.00
Profit: $60, Fee: $1.20 (2%)
Net: $58.80
Kalshi:
Buy YES at $0.40, win $1.00
Fee on entry: ~$3, Fee on exit: ~$3
Net: ~$54
Market Selection
Polymarket offers significantly more markets across a wider range of topics. Kalshi's market selection is more limited due to regulatory requirements.
Polymarket Markets
- Politics & Elections
- Crypto (Rolling prices)
- Sports (NBA, NFL, NHL, Soccer)
- Weather & Climate
- Pop Culture & Entertainment
- Science & Technology
- Business & Finance
- Geopolitics
- 1,000+ active markets
Kalshi Markets
- Economics (Fed rates, CPI)
- Politics & Elections
- Weather
- Finance (Stock movements)
- Crypto prices
- Some entertainment events
- Sports (not allowed by CFTC)
- 200+ active markets
Regulation & Legal Status
This is the most significant difference between the platforms and the main reason many traders choose one over the other.
Polymarket - Decentralized
- Built on blockchain (Polygon)
- Available globally (where crypto is legal)
- US users restricted (settled with CFTC in 2022)
- Self-custody of funds
- No tax reporting (you're responsible)
Kalshi - CFTC Regulated
- Fully legal for US residents
- CFTC-regulated Designated Contract Market (DCM)
- Provides 1099 tax forms
- Limited to US residents only
- Market types restricted by CFTC
Liquidity & Trading Experience
Liquidity matters because it affects how easily you can enter and exit positions at good prices.
Liquidity Comparison
Higher liquidity = tighter spreads, easier to trade large positions
User Experience & Access
Polymarket UX
- Clean, modern web interface
- No mobile app (web only)
- Full API access for bots
- -Requires crypto knowledge
- Active Discord community
Kalshi UX
- Professional trading interface
- iOS and Android apps
- -Limited API access
- Traditional finance familiar
- Bank/card deposits
Pros and Cons Summary
Polymarket
Pros
- + More markets & categories
- + Lower fees (2% on profit)
- + Higher liquidity
- + Full API access
- + Global access
- + Sports markets
Cons
- - US residents restricted
- - Requires crypto knowledge
- - No mobile app
- - No tax forms
- - Regulatory uncertainty
Kalshi
Pros
- + Fully legal in US
- + Tax forms (1099)
- + Mobile apps
- + Bank deposits
- + Traditional finance UX
Cons
- - Higher fees (1-7%)
- - Fewer markets
- - Lower liquidity
- - US only
- - No sports (CFTC restrictions)
- - Limited API
Final Recommendation
For most traders:Polymarket offers better value with lower fees, more markets, and deeper liquidity. If you're comfortable with crypto and outside the US, it's the clear choice.
For US residents prioritizing compliance:Kalshi is the safer, legal option. You'll pay more in fees and have fewer markets, but you get regulatory protection and tax simplicity.
For serious traders: Consider using both. Kalshi for US-regulated markets, Polymarket (via VPN if permitted in your jurisdiction) for sports and international events.
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